Well, a couple of things- but I don't want to get in the way of a good ASO conspiracy theory.
A. Peterhansel does not have to push at all. In fact, he'd be a fool to takes risks; he isn't a fool, so all he has to Do is keep it on the course, and he'll extend his record setting run to 11 victories. I thought it was interesting that He stated that keeping a good pace was safer than slowing down too much, since the level of concentration is higher, And you're less likely to make mistakes ( paraphrasing here ). So I expect him to maintain a good clip, but not An all-out pace to the end. Nobody will catch him, unless the Mini has a problem, which seems unlikely. Even more Unlikely is that SPH will screw up. Not impossible, but almost, I think.